Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.717661 0.917719 1.142392 1.410500 1.718846 2.059614 2.461904
2025-06-29 0.430163 0.674998 0.986017 1.396696 1.911546 2.523258 3.292371
2025-07-06 0.245216 0.486720 0.836820 1.346655 2.036825 2.907774 4.058524
2025-07-13 0.147561 0.376632 0.755125 1.356872 2.225225 3.374226 4.950112
2025-07-20 0.086696 0.294128 0.686774 1.364929 2.400407 3.826411 5.842589
2025-07-27 0.044425 0.217687 0.601839 1.325772 2.494596 4.166309 6.596799
2025-08-03 0.020648 0.160749 0.530417 1.289845 2.581305 4.491929 7.337980
2025-08-10 0.009556 0.126182 0.490439 1.297506 2.730244 4.907956 8.213926
2025-08-17 0.002924 0.090782 0.431676 1.256193 2.790634 5.190929 8.907407
2025-08-24 0.001131 0.078087 0.426136 1.317009 3.023852 5.740254 9.995383
2025-08-31 0.000170 0.060412 0.396475 1.320830 3.155757 6.136656 10.870429
2025-09-07 0.000025 0.054934 0.404214 1.406575 3.436949 6.773461 12.112137
2025-09-14 NaN 0.046445 0.397629 1.461133 3.669574 7.349573 13.291507
2025-09-21 NaN 0.036754 0.379697 1.485814 3.848336 7.846538 14.367048
2025-09-28 NaN 0.025183 0.341795 1.453360 3.915322 8.164083 15.180010
2025-10-05 NaN 0.019217 0.326081 1.474424 4.085461 8.654292 16.264711
2025-10-12 NaN 0.014188 0.309155 1.488294 4.240571 9.122468 17.323528
2025-10-19 NaN 0.008621 0.276399 1.449433 4.284792 9.404187 18.098830
2025-10-26 NaN 0.004873 0.247044 1.412598 4.328337 9.683606 18.873930
2025-11-02 NaN 0.003105 0.233302 1.421457 4.467730 10.130344 19.918664
2025-11-09 NaN 0.001362 0.206083 1.377820 4.489177 10.370819 20.640174
2025-11-16 NaN 0.001063 0.209520 1.442772 4.753433 11.044236 22.061606
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000511 0.197118 1.446937 4.881077 11.477971 23.105716